Investment VaR Formula:
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Value at Risk (VaR) is a statistical measure of the risk of loss for investments. It estimates how much a set of investments might lose (with a given probability), given normal market conditions, in a set time period such as a day.
The calculator uses the Investment VaR formula:
Where:
Explanation: The equation calculates the maximum expected loss over a specified time period at a given confidence level.
Details: VaR is widely used by portfolio managers to measure and control the level of risk exposure. It helps in understanding potential losses in normal market conditions.
Tips: Enter investment value in USD, volatility as decimal (e.g., 0.05 for 5%), and appropriate Z-score for your desired confidence level. All values must be valid (value > 0, volatility between 0-1).
Q1: What are typical Z-score values?
A: Common Z-scores are 1.28 (90% confidence), 1.65 (95% confidence), and 2.33 (99% confidence).
Q2: How is volatility calculated?
A: Volatility is typically the standard deviation of historical returns, calculated as the square root of the variance of returns.
Q3: What time period does this VaR represent?
A: This calculates a single-period VaR. The time period depends on the volatility input (if daily volatility is used, the VaR is for one day).
Q4: What are limitations of VaR?
A: VaR doesn't estimate potential losses beyond the confidence level and assumes normal distribution of returns.
Q5: How can I annualize the VaR?
A: Multiply daily volatility by √252 (trading days) for annual volatility, then calculate VaR with the same formula.